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Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 40bps?

kalshi updown Ends Jan 1, 2027 (2mo left) Vol: $2K • LIVE · Oct 28, 2026 01:51 UTC
Yes price
28¢
No price
72¢
Bid 28¢ Ask 38¢ Mid 33¢ OI $973
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About this market: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 40bps? is currently priced at 28¢ for Yes and 72¢ for No on kalshi, in the updown category. It resolves on Jan 1, 2027 (2mo from now). Daily volume is around $2K. No matched market was found on the other platform yet.

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