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Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 20bps?

kalshi updown Ends Jan 1, 2027 (2mo left) Vol: $675 • LIVE · Oct 29, 2026 09:13 UTC
Yes price
5¢
No price
95¢
Bid 5¢ Ask 89¢ Mid 47¢ OI $381
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About this market: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 20bps? is currently priced at 5¢ for Yes and 95¢ for No on kalshi, in the updown category. It resolves on Jan 1, 2027 (2mo from now). Daily volume is around $675. No matched market was found on the other platform yet.

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