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Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
NATO dissolves before 2027?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Yes
68¢
No
32¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Yes
75¢
No
25¢
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?
Yes
63¢
No
37¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Yes
92¢
No
7¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢