Politics markets on Polymarket
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Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Yes
70¢
No
30¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Yes
29¢
No
71¢
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Yes
53¢
No
47¢
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Yes
21¢
No
79¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Yes
48¢
No
52¢
Will Paul Reevs be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Yes
49¢
No
51¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Yes
49¢
No
51¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes
94¢
No
6¢
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢