Politics markets on Polymarket
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Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes
15¢
No
85¢
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Yes
57¢
No
43¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Yes
13¢
No
87¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Yes
26¢
No
74¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Yes
52¢
No
48¢
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢