Politics markets on Polymarket
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Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Yes
64¢
No
36¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes
79¢
No
21¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes
98¢
No
2¢
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Iran leadership change by October 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes
29¢
No
71¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Yes
13¢
No
87¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢