Politics markets on Polymarket
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Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 15%-20%?
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Yes
71¢
No
29¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 50%-55%?
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 25%-30%?
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will Trump endorse Yashar in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?
Yes
19¢
No
81¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?
Yes
15¢
No
85¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 15%-20%?
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
Will Republicans sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?
Yes
13¢
No
87¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 65%-70%?
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 6%-9%?
Yes
15¢
No
85¢
Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Yes
86¢
No
14¢
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by October 31, 2026?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢