Politics markets on Polymarket
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Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?
Yes
19¢
No
81¢
Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?
Yes
75¢
No
25¢
Will the Democrats win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes
91¢
No
9¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-33 House seat?
Yes
95¢
No
5¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 20%-25%?
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election?
Yes
56¢
No
44¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 15%-20%?
Yes
25¢
No
75¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-06 House election by 25%-30%?
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Yes
97¢
No
3¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 10%-15%?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes
72¢
No
28¢
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 40%-45%?
Yes
19¢
No
81¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 6%-9%?
Yes
27¢
No
73¢
Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 9%-12%?
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Yes
85¢
No
15¢
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?
Yes
17¢
No
83¢
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?
Yes
58¢
No
42¢