Politics markets on Polymarket
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Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?
Yes
31¢
No
69¢
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 20%-25%?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?
Yes
90¢
No
10¢
Will Gregor Novak win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
Yes
38¢
No
62¢
Will RZP-Zehut win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the Republican Party win the CA-41 House seat?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes
35¢
No
65¢
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Yes
25¢
No
75¢
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?
Yes
21¢
No
79¢
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
Yes
97¢
No
3¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
Will the Democratic Party win the SD-AL House seat?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-07 House seat?
Yes
95¢
No
5¢
Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢