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Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Yes
57¢
No
43¢
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Yes
27¢
No
73¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Yes
88¢
No
12¢
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Yes
96¢
No
4¢
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Yes
29¢
No
71¢
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes
54¢
No
46¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Yes
31¢
No
69¢
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
Yes
60¢
No
40¢
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢