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Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter release an album in 2026?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $50 in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Tangles win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?
Yes
98¢
No
2¢
Will Jenna Dewan win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
76¢
No
24¢
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
Yes
41¢
No
59¢
Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Will Josh Allen rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Yes
75¢
No
25¢
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?
Yes
25¢
No
75¢
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $25 in 2026?
Yes
78¢
No
22¢
Z.ai matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 28, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
Yes
61¢
No
39¢
Will Shrek 5 be delayed?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢