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Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Paul Franklin (steel guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Yes
42¢
No
58¢
Will Bernie Sanders be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday?
Yes
33¢
No
67¢
Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?
Yes
94¢
No
6¢
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026?
Yes
72¢
No
28¢
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $150M and $175M by November 30?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?
Yes
78¢
No
22¢
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
48¢
No
52¢
Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
79¢
No
21¢
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?
Yes
46¢
No
54¢
Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?
Yes
87¢
No
13¢
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 20, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
95¢
No
5¢
Will Dune: Messiah be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will "Spilled Milk" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?
Yes
31¢
No
69¢