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Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Yes
37¢
No
63¢
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
Yes
26¢
No
74¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
Yes
19¢
No
81¢
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
17¢
No
83¢
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Yes
35¢
No
65¢
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?
Yes
98¢
No
2¢
GTA VI released by October 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?
Yes
71¢
No
29¢
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes
62¢
No
38¢
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
Yes
15¢
No
85¢
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
GTA VI released by November 30?
Yes
96¢
No
4¢
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Yes
48¢
No
52¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Yes
40¢
No
60¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Yes
63¢
No
37¢