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Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2027?
Yes
85¢
No
15¢
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will "Rose" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?
Yes
18¢
No
82¢
Will Amina Mohammed be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?
Yes
29¢
No
71¢
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?
Yes
73¢
No
27¢
Will Clavicular visit South Korea in 2026?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?
Yes
25¢
No
75¢
Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?
Yes
58¢
No
42¢
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?
Yes
15¢
No
85¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
Will Hong Kong have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 30, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
Will Milly Alcock be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes
36¢
No
64¢
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢