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Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
Yes
90¢
No
10¢
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?
Yes
91¢
No
9¢
Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will "The Birthday Gift" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?
Yes
72¢
No
28¢
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?
Yes
35¢
No
65¢
DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Will "When I'm Home" from The Odyssey be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
39¢
No
61¢
Will A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will Control Resonant win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will "Tangles" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
60¢
No
40¢
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Will Jaafar Jackson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?
Yes
52¢
No
48¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Yes
41¢
No
59¢
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?
Yes
52¢
No
48¢
Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
Yes
45¢
No
55¢
Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢