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Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will Vance peak at Category 3?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Yes
81¢
No
19¢
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?
Yes
29¢
No
71¢
Will JD Vance be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Yes
42¢
No
58¢
Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
46¢
No
54¢
Will Eminem release an album in 2026?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
29¢
No
71¢
Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
41¢
No
59¢
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?
Yes
13¢
No
87¢
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?
Yes
65¢
No
35¢
Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist in the US for 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 20% to 39.99%?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?
Yes
33¢
No
67¢