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New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes
15¢
No
85¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Yes
97¢
No
3¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes
27¢
No
73¢
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
44¢
No
56¢
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?
Yes
97¢
No
3¢
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?
Yes
63¢
No
37¢
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢