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Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?
Yes
84¢
No
16¢
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
Yes
32¢
No
68¢
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?
Yes
29¢
No
71¢
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 31?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Will Lil Uzi Vert release an album in 2026?
Yes
39¢
No
61¢
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?
Yes
17¢
No
83¢
Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Yes
13¢
No
87¢
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Yes
15¢
No
85¢
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Yes
13¢
No
87¢
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?
Yes
92¢
No
8¢
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢