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Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
32¢
No
68¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Yes
31¢
No
69¢
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes
98¢
No
2¢
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes
97¢
No
3¢
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes
42¢
No
58¢
Will Ryan Flaherty be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Yes
35¢
No
65¢
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes
19¢
No
81¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Yes
19¢
No
81¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢