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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Yes
19¢
No
81¢
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Yes
97¢
No
3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 16?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $55 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Yes
97¢
No
3¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 17, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 16?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 16?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on June 16?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will "Office Romance" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Yes
94¢
No
6¢
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
Yes
51¢
No
49¢
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes
73¢
No
27¢
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Microsoft have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will anyone say "God" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
Yes
63¢
No
37¢
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on June 16?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢