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Will Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on December 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will London have less than 35mm of precipitation in October?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?
Yes
99¢
No
<1¢
Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Jonathan Majors as Kang?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?
Yes
31¢
No
69¢
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
32¢
No
68¢
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?
Yes
97¢
No
3¢
Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Parker Posey be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes
82¢
No
18¢
Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Yes
41¢
No
59¢
Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢