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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be less than 200k?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Yes
25¢
No
75¢
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 16?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
New Half-Life game by June 30?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Yes
57¢
No
43¢
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?
Yes
13¢
No
87¢
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Yes
82¢
No
18¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on June 16?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 16?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
Yes
82¢
No
18¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will ECDSA.fail get at least 40% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Mike Turitto win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?
Yes
86¢
No
14¢