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Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes
72¢
No
28¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Yes
69¢
No
31¢
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?
Yes
19¢
No
81¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?
Yes
93¢
No
7¢
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?
Yes
26¢
No
74¢
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?
Yes
71¢
No
29¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes
54¢
No
46¢
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
Yes
44¢
No
56¢
Will Josephine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Plague case in US by December 31?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?
Yes
99¢
No
<1¢