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Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?
Yes
80¢
No
20¢
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
Yes
36¢
No
64¢
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Yes
26¢
No
74¢
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes
27¢
No
73¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
Yes
25¢
No
75¢
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Yes
71¢
No
29¢
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Yes
18¢
No
82¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?
Yes
98¢
No
2¢
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?
Yes
13¢
No
87¢
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢