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Will Kendrick Lamar be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Yes
49¢
No
51¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Yes
60¢
No
40¢
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Yes
18¢
No
82¢
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Yes
80¢
No
20¢
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Megaquake by June 30?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢