Economics markets on Polymarket
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Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?
Yes
93¢
No
7¢
Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes
47¢
No
53¢
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?
Yes
93¢
No
7¢
Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 13.5% to 14.5%?
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will world GDP growth be 3.4% in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.9% and -0.5%?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will South African inflation be between 3.8% and 4.1% in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 7% to 9%?
Yes
45¢
No
55¢
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 in October?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $820 in October?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of November 2026?
Yes
81¢
No
19¢
Will SoFi (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes
64¢
No
36¢
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢