Economics markets on Kalshi
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Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q4 2026?
Yes
34¢
No
66¢
Total Fed dissents in 2026: exactly 10
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States and Canada reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Will CPI core year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.5%?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will Kevin Warsh say Japan / Japanese / Yen at his Oct 2026 press conference?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q1 2027?
Yes
35¢
No
65¢
Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be Exactly 0.3% for Oct 2026?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Brazil Nominal GDP in 2026?
Yes
69¢
No
31¢
CPI month-over-month in Nov 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q4 2026?
Yes
81¢
No
19¢
Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026?
Yes
98¢
No
2¢
GDP growth in 2030?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026 be at least 1690K?
Yes
69¢
No
31¢
Will Kevin Warsh say Crypto / Cryptocurrency at his Oct 2026 press conference?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q2 2027?
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
China Nominal GDP in 2026?
Yes
87¢
No
13¢
Russia unemployment rate in September 2026?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
CPI year-over-year in Nov 2026?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Mexico Nominal GDP in 2026?
Yes
84¢
No
16¢
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q2 2027?
Yes
33¢
No
67¢
India Nominal GDP in 2026?
Yes
—¢
No
—¢
GDP growth in 2027?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Mexico Nominal GDP in 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
China Nominal GDP in 2026?
Yes
66¢
No
34¢