Economics markets on Polymarket
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Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?
Yes
33¢
No
67¢
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Yes
13¢
No
87¢
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?
Yes
43¢
No
57¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?
Yes
33¢
No
67¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?
Yes
73¢
No
27¢
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?
Yes
59¢
No
41¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?
Yes
26¢
No
74¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?
Yes
48¢
No
52¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?
Yes
48¢
No
52¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in October?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?
Yes
17¢
No
83¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?
Yes
9¢
No
91¢