Economics markets on Polymarket
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Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?
Yes
67¢
No
33¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?
Yes
88¢
No
12¢
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Yes
90¢
No
10¢
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
Yes
49¢
No
51¢
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
>99¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?
Yes
100¢
No
<1¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
Yes
13¢
No
87¢
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes
81¢
No
19¢
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?
Yes
6¢
No
94¢