Economics markets on Polymarket
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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes
53¢
No
47¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
Yes
48¢
No
52¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
Yes
69¢
No
31¢
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
Yes
<1¢
No
>99¢