Will Trump say "Lonely" in March?
Cross-Platform Prices
Polymarket
Bid
0.3
Ask
0.5
Mid
0.5
Vol: $3K
Kalshi
Bid
0.2
Ask
0.2
Mid
0.2
Vol: $62K
Polymarket
Bid
0.3
Ask
0.5
Mid
0.5
Vol: $3K
Kalshi
Bid
0.5
Ask
0.9
Mid
0.7
Vol: $0
Matched Pairs
Poly
Kalshi
entity
560 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Trump say "Lonely" in March?
Bid 0.32 · Ask 0.52 · Mid 0.50 · Vol $3K
Kalshi
Will Trump say "Slopadopolous" before Apr 1, 2026?
Bid 0.23 · Ask 0.25 · Mid 0.24 · Vol $62K
Spread Buy K: 0.0561
Spread Buy P: -0.3073
Best Arb: 0.0561 (560 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
No arb
Polymarket
Will Trump say "Lonely" in March?
Bid 0.32 · Ask 0.52 · Mid 0.50 · Vol $3K
Kalshi
Will Trump say "Windmill" before Apr 1, 2026?
Bid 0.51 · Ask 0.86 · Mid 0.69 · Vol $0