Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Cross-Platform Prices
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.0
Mid
0.0
Vol: $0
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.0
Mid
0.0
Vol: $0
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.0
Vol: $18
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.0
Vol: $0
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.0
Vol: $9
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.1
Vol: $102
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.1
Vol: $213
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.1
Vol: $0
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.1
Vol: $0
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.1
Vol: $0
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.1
Vol: $0
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.1
Vol: $25
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.2
Ask
0.3
Mid
0.2
Vol: $2K
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.3
Ask
0.4
Mid
0.3
Vol: $180
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.9
Ask
0.9
Mid
0.9
Vol: $2K
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.9
Ask
0.9
Mid
0.9
Vol: $5K
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.6
Ask
0.6
Mid
0.6
Vol: $2K
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.7
Vol: $13K
Kalshi
Bid
0.6
Ask
0.7
Mid
0.6
Vol: $6
Matched Pairs
Poly
Kalshi
entity
6154 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Who will dissent at the March 2026 FOMC Meeting FOMC meeting?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.04 · Mid 0.02 · Vol $0
Spread Buy K: 0.6154
Spread Buy P: -0.7140
Best Arb: 0.6154 (6154 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
6154 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Will the Bank of Russia Hike 25bps at the March Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.04 · Mid 0.02 · Vol $0
Spread Buy K: 0.6154
Spread Buy P: -0.7140
Best Arb: 0.6154 (6154 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
6051 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Will the Bank of Russia Hike 50bps at the March Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.05 · Mid 0.03 · Vol $18
Spread Buy K: 0.6051
Spread Buy P: -0.7140
Best Arb: 0.6051 (6051 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
6051 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Will the Bank of Russia Hike more than 50bps at the March Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.05 · Mid 0.03 · Vol $0
Spread Buy K: 0.6051
Spread Buy P: -0.7140
Best Arb: 0.6051 (6051 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
6051 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Will the Bank of Russia Cut more than 50bps at the March Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.05 · Mid 0.03 · Vol $9
Spread Buy K: 0.6051
Spread Buy P: -0.7140
Best Arb: 0.6051 (6051 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
5639 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Who will dissent at the March 2026 FOMC Meeting FOMC meeting?
Bid 0.04 · Ask 0.09 · Mid 0.07 · Vol $102
Spread Buy K: 0.5639
Spread Buy P: -0.6752
Best Arb: 0.5639 (5639 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
5536 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Who will dissent at the March 2026 FOMC Meeting FOMC meeting?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.10 · Mid 0.07 · Vol $213
Spread Buy K: 0.5536
Spread Buy P: -0.6849
Best Arb: 0.5536 (5536 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
5536 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Who will dissent at the March 2026 FOMC Meeting FOMC meeting?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.10 · Mid 0.05 · Vol $0
Spread Buy K: 0.5536
Spread Buy P: -0.7140
Best Arb: 0.5536 (5536 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
5536 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Who will dissent at the March 2026 FOMC Meeting FOMC meeting?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.10 · Mid 0.05 · Vol $0
Spread Buy K: 0.5536
Spread Buy P: -0.7140
Best Arb: 0.5536 (5536 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
5536 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Who will dissent at the March 2026 FOMC Meeting FOMC meeting?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.10 · Mid 0.05 · Vol $0
Spread Buy K: 0.5536
Spread Buy P: -0.7140
Best Arb: 0.5536 (5536 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
5536 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Who will dissent at the March 2026 FOMC Meeting FOMC meeting?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.10 · Mid 0.05 · Vol $0
Spread Buy K: 0.5536
Spread Buy P: -0.7140
Best Arb: 0.5536 (5536 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
5536 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Will the Bank of Russia Cut 25bps at the March Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.10 · Mid 0.05 · Vol $25
Spread Buy K: 0.5536
Spread Buy P: -0.7140
Best Arb: 0.5536 (5536 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
3579 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Will the Bank of Russia Maintain current rate at the March Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Bid 0.20 · Ask 0.29 · Mid 0.24 · Vol $2K
Spread Buy K: 0.3579
Spread Buy P: -0.5200
Best Arb: 0.3579 (3579 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
2755 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Who will dissent at the March 2026 FOMC Meeting FOMC meeting?
Bid 0.30 · Ask 0.37 · Mid 0.33 · Vol $180
Spread Buy K: 0.2755
Spread Buy P: -0.4230
Best Arb: 0.2755 (2755 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
1590 bps
BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the Monetary Policy Meeting?
Bid 0.90 · Ask 0.94 · Mid 0.92 · Vol $2K
Spread Buy K: -0.3116
Spread Buy P: 0.1590
Best Arb: 0.1590 (1590 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
1492 bps
BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Who will dissent at the March 2026 FOMC Meeting FOMC meeting?
Bid 0.89 · Ask 0.91 · Mid 0.90 · Vol $5K
Spread Buy K: -0.2807
Spread Buy P: 0.1493
Best Arb: 0.1493 (1492 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
180 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Who will dissent at the March 2026 FOMC Meeting FOMC meeting?
Bid 0.56 · Ask 0.62 · Mid 0.59 · Vol $2K
Spread Buy K: 0.0180
Spread Buy P: -0.1708
Best Arb: 0.0180 (180 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
No arb
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Bid 0.67 · Ask 0.70 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $13K
Kalshi
Will the Bank of Russia Cut 50bps at the March Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Bid 0.56 · Ask 0.68 · Mid 0.62 · Vol $6