Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
Cross-Platform Prices
Polymarket
Bid
0.4
Ask
0.4
Mid
0.4
Vol: $3K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.0
Mid
0.0
Vol: $304K
Matched Pairs
Poly
Kalshi
entity
3719 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
Bid 0.39 · Ask 0.40 · Mid 0.44 · Vol $3K
Kalshi
Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Mar 1, 2026?
Bid 0.00 · Ask 0.01 · Mid 0.01 · Vol $304K
Spread Buy K: 0.3719
Spread Buy P: -0.4080
Best Arb: 0.3719 (3719 bps)