Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Cross-Platform Prices
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.8
Mid
0.8
Vol: $2K
Kalshi
Bid
0.2
Ask
0.2
Mid
0.2
Vol: $515
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.8
Mid
0.8
Vol: $2K
Kalshi
Bid
0.2
Ask
0.3
Mid
0.2
Vol: $1
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.8
Mid
0.8
Vol: $2K
Kalshi
Bid
0.5
Ask
0.6
Mid
0.6
Vol: $482
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.8
Mid
0.8
Vol: $2K
Kalshi
Bid
0.9
Ask
1.0
Mid
0.9
Vol: $100
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.8
Mid
0.8
Vol: $2K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.8
Mid
0.4
Vol: $6
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.8
Mid
0.8
Vol: $2K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.8
Mid
0.4
Vol: $0
Polymarket
Bid
0.7
Ask
0.8
Mid
0.8
Vol: $2K
Kalshi
Bid
0.0
Ask
0.8
Mid
0.4
Vol: $0
Matched Pairs
Poly
Kalshi
entity
4790 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Bid 0.72 · Ask 0.84 · Mid 0.85 · Vol $2K
Kalshi
England vs Croatia Winner?
Bid 0.20 · Ask 0.22 · Mid 0.21 · Vol $515
Spread Buy K: 0.4790
Spread Buy P: -0.6628
Best Arb: 0.4790 (4790 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
4069 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Bid 0.72 · Ask 0.84 · Mid 0.85 · Vol $2K
Kalshi
England vs Croatia Winner?
Bid 0.21 · Ask 0.29 · Mid 0.25 · Vol $1
Spread Buy K: 0.4069
Spread Buy P: -0.6531
Best Arb: 0.4069 (4069 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
1185 bps
BUY K → SELL P
Polymarket
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Bid 0.72 · Ask 0.84 · Mid 0.85 · Vol $2K
Kalshi
England vs Croatia Winner?
Bid 0.54 · Ask 0.57 · Mid 0.55 · Vol $482
Spread Buy K: 0.1185
Spread Buy P: -0.3330
Best Arb: 0.1185 (1185 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
161 bps
BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Bid 0.72 · Ask 0.84 · Mid 0.85 · Vol $2K
Kalshi
Will Croatia officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2026?
Bid 0.90 · Ask 1.00 · Mid 0.95 · Vol $100
Spread Buy K: -0.3244
Spread Buy P: 0.0162
Best Arb: 0.0162 (161 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
No arb
Polymarket
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Bid 0.72 · Ask 0.84 · Mid 0.85 · Vol $2K
Kalshi
Panama vs Croatia Winner?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.81 · Mid 0.42 · Vol $6
Poly
Kalshi
entity
No arb
Polymarket
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Bid 0.72 · Ask 0.84 · Mid 0.85 · Vol $2K
Kalshi
Panama vs Croatia Winner?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.81 · Mid 0.42 · Vol $0
Poly
Kalshi
entity
No arb
Polymarket
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Bid 0.72 · Ask 0.84 · Mid 0.85 · Vol $2K
Kalshi
Panama vs Croatia Winner?
Bid 0.03 · Ask 0.81 · Mid 0.42 · Vol $0