Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Cross-Platform Prices
Polymarket
Bid
0.3
Ask
0.4
Mid
0.4
Vol: $33
Kalshi
Bid
0.9
Ask
1.0
Mid
0.9
Vol: $230
Polymarket
Bid
0.3
Ask
0.4
Mid
0.4
Vol: $33
Kalshi
Bid
0.6
Ask
0.8
Mid
0.7
Vol: $3K
Polymarket
Bid
0.3
Ask
0.4
Mid
0.4
Vol: $33
Kalshi
Bid
0.1
Ask
0.4
Mid
0.2
Vol: $297
Polymarket
Bid
0.3
Ask
0.4
Mid
0.4
Vol: $33
Kalshi
Bid
0.1
Ask
0.4
Mid
0.2
Vol: $122
Matched Pairs
Poly
Kalshi
entity
4654 bps
BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Bid 0.32 · Ask 0.39 · Mid 0.42 · Vol $33
Kalshi
Will Belgium officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2026?
Bid 0.89 · Ask 1.00 · Mid 0.95 · Vol $230
Spread Buy K: -0.7164
Spread Buy P: 0.4655
Best Arb: 0.4655 (4654 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
2229 bps
BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Bid 0.32 · Ask 0.39 · Mid 0.42 · Vol $33
Kalshi
Belgium vs Egypt Winner?
Bid 0.64 · Ask 0.76 · Mid 0.70 · Vol $3K
Spread Buy K: -0.4692
Spread Buy P: 0.2230
Best Arb: 0.2230 (2229 bps)
Poly
Kalshi
entity
No arb
Polymarket
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Bid 0.32 · Ask 0.39 · Mid 0.42 · Vol $33
Kalshi
Belgium vs Egypt Winner?
Bid 0.05 · Ask 0.41 · Mid 0.23 · Vol $297
Poly
Kalshi
entity
No arb
Polymarket
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Bid 0.32 · Ask 0.39 · Mid 0.42 · Vol $33
Kalshi
Belgium vs Egypt Winner?
Bid 0.05 · Ask 0.38 · Mid 0.21 · Vol $122