Will Ken Paxton be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas?
Cross-Platform Prices
Polymarket
Bid
0.1
Ask
0.1
Mid
0.1
Vol: $12K
Kalshi
Bid
0.8
Ask
0.8
Mid
0.8
Vol: $1.0M
Matched Pairs
Poly
Kalshi
entity
6729 bps
BUY P → SELL K
Polymarket
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and lose the 2026 Texas Senate General Election?
Bid 0.10 · Ask 0.12 · Mid 0.11 · Vol $12K
Kalshi
Will Ken Paxton be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas?
Bid 0.82 · Ask 0.83 · Mid 0.82 · Vol $1.0M
Spread Buy K: -0.7569
Spread Buy P: 0.6730
Best Arb: 0.6730 (6729 bps)