Will the US government be shut down for at least 60 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026?
Cross-Platform Prices
Polymarket
Bid
0.2
Ask
0.5
Mid
0.2
Vol: $0
Kalshi
Bid
0.5
Ask
0.5
Mid
0.5
Vol: $392K
Matched Pairs
Poly
Kalshi
entity
No arb
Polymarket
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?
Bid 0.20 · Ask 0.49 · Mid 0.17 · Vol $0
Kalshi
Will the US government be shut down for at least 60 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026?
Bid 0.46 · Ask 0.49 · Mid 0.47 · Vol $392K